期货全线反弹，废钢喜迎涨价
发布时间：2023-06-05 09:18
<p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">黑色系期货全线反弹，沙老大废钢今日涨</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">50</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">，周二涨</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">30</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">，一周内已经累计涨了</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">80</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">元</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">/</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">吨。市场信心也有条不紊地修复中，行情在悲观中迎来反弹，是需求所致？还是资金面炒作？</span><br/></p><p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">短期来看，淡季需求虽然有一定韧性，但是整体仍然呈现下滑趋势。因此更大层面表现为资金面炒作。先有美国债务上限达成协议，违约概率降低，受此影响，</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">6</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">月美联储不加息概率大大增加。后有传言，国内有利好政策刺激，中国拟放宽地产企业“三道红线”考核，延长过渡期并放松杠杆限制。受此影响，地产股票板块和黑色系期货均迎来较大幅度提升。</span><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-family: 宋体;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;visibility: visible">此轮炒作周期会多久？</span><br/></p><p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);text-align: center;visibility: visible;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><img src="https://file.mall.luliaohui.com/uploads/home/common/2023060509204111841.png" title="" alt=""/></p><p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><br/></p><p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);visibility: visible;overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体;visibility: visible">如图所示，螺纹钢主连有明显减仓操作，显然空头主力在减仓，降低回撤率。从技术面来看，减仓的力度还是很强的，说明续涨空间还是足够的。再来看下其基本面情况，钢厂废钢到货同样不如日耗，而且库存仍旧不高，约为10天，供小于求的局面更加助推废钢价格进一步走高。期货涨势虽然喜人，但是不宜过分乐观。虽然市场利好不断，但是同样也有风险。淡季需求较差是不争的事实，按照惯例，消息炒作时间周期较短，不过过分追高。</span></p><p style="margin-top: 0px;margin-bottom: 0px;padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box;clear: both;min-height: 1em;color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Helvetica Neue', 'PingFang SC', 'Hiragino Sans GB', 'Microsoft YaHei UI', 'Microsoft YaHei', Arial, sans-serif;font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.544px;text-align: justify;white-space: normal;background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);overflow-wrap: break-word !important"><span style=";padding: 0px;outline: 0px;max-width: 100%;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体">综合来看，成材走高，利好于废钢上行，但是需要警惕淡季成材累库的风险，因此建议老铁们见好就收，毕竟钱财落袋为安。</span></p><p><br/></p>
